AVAX in plain facts
Updated 2026-11-14 (UTC) · Binance spot data
How AVAX behaves versus Bitcoin
AVAX has a beta of 1.32 against Bitcoin: amplifies Bitcoin's moves ~1.32× — up and down alike. In plain terms, on a day Bitcoin moves 1%, AVAX has moved about 1.32% on average in the same direction. Beta describes past co-movement over the available daily history; it is not a forecast.
What AVAX moves with
Over the last 90 days its daily moves tracked ADA (0.63) and ETH (0.56) most closely among the large coins we compare against. A correlation of 1.0 would mean they moved in lockstep; 0 would mean no relationship.
Where AVAX sits in its own history
Today's price is higher than on 6% of the days in its last 5 years on Binance — low in its range — closer to past lows than past peaks.
How volatile AVAX is
Its annualised volatility over the last 90 days is 85.9%, about 1.99× Bitcoin's over the same window. Today's move: a typical day (~1.1× normal).
AVAX's worst drawdown
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in this window was -95.6%, bottoming on 2026-06-19. Context: 2025–26 bear phase — a broad drawdown. This number is free on Sightglass and always will be.
Reading
AVAX — a coin that amplifies Bitcoin ~1.32×; moves most closely with ADA and ETH; currently sits in the lower zone of its 5-year range (6th pctile); more volatile than Bitcoin (~2.0×). Facts, not a call — the decision stays yours.
How these numbers are calculated
- Source: Binance spot daily candles (USDT pair), up to five years.
- Beta: regression slope of the coin's daily returns on Bitcoin's, over the shared history.
- Moves with: 90-day correlation of daily returns against 15 large coins.
- Historical position: share of days in the window with a lower close than today.
- Volatility: standard deviation of the last 90 daily returns, annualised (×√365).
- Worst drawdown: largest fall from a prior peak within the window.