XPL in plain facts
Updated 2026-11-14 (UTC) · Binance spot data
How XPL behaves versus Bitcoin
XPL has a beta of 1.54 against Bitcoin: amplifies Bitcoin's moves ~1.54× — up and down alike. In plain terms, on a day Bitcoin moves 1%, XPL has moved about 1.54% on average in the same direction. Beta describes past co-movement over the available daily history; it is not a forecast.
What XPL moves with
Over the last 90 days its daily moves tracked LTC (0.74) and ADA (0.7) most closely among the large coins we compare against. A correlation of 1.0 would mean they moved in lockstep; 0 would mean no relationship.
Where XPL sits in its own history
Today's price is higher than on 0% of the days in its last 1 year on Binance — low in its range — closer to past lows than past peaks.
How volatile XPL is
Its annualised volatility over the last 90 days is 112.4%, about 2.61× Bitcoin's over the same window. Today's move: a typical day (~1.2× normal).
XPL's worst drawdown
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in this window was -97.1%, bottoming on 2026-11-14. Context: an extraordinary market period (no single event matched). This number is free on Sightglass and always will be.
Reading
XPL — a coin that amplifies Bitcoin ~1.54×; moves most closely with LTC and ADA; currently sits in the lower zone of its 1-year range (0th pctile); more volatile than Bitcoin (~2.6×). Facts, not a call — the decision stays yours.
How these numbers are calculated
- Source: Binance spot daily candles (USDT pair), up to five years.
- Beta: regression slope of the coin's daily returns on Bitcoin's, over the shared history.
- Moves with: 90-day correlation of daily returns against 15 large coins.
- Historical position: share of days in the window with a lower close than today.
- Volatility: standard deviation of the last 90 daily returns, annualised (×√365).
- Worst drawdown: largest fall from a prior peak within the window.